We've got 11 games tonight in the NHL, but have kept our looks relatively simple. Shots on goal props do look good in a variety of spots, from Florida to Ottawa to Toronto, but I'd like to wait for the alternate shot market to open before placing bets there. Unfortunately, that tends to be a slow process from FanDuel.
As such, we turn our initial looks elsewhere on the ice.
I expect Washington to net plenty tonight, and there's no better place to turn than Alex Ovechkin. Ovi is on a tear right now with both shots and scoring. At home, he's tallied six goals in his past three games, and I like him to keep it rolling here tonight against Buffalo.
The Sabres are loose to shots and a fine option for power-play chances and PP goals. Ovi has four goals in his last six games vs. Buffalo.
On paper it's an awesome spot for Toronto at home, as they should set the pace with shots at home and pile up the goals. They average 34.1 shots per game and 3.5 goals per game at home this year, while St. Louis is allowing 34.6 shots and 3.7 goals per game on the road.
What pushes this over the edge is the recent injury news dealt to the Blues. St. Louis will be skating without Ryan O'Reilly and Vladimir Tarasenko for the foreseeable future, and Torey Krug is also on the shelf. It's going to be a challenge for the Blues to keep up.
Toronto has 5+ goals in three of the last four meetings with St. Louis and should cruise tonight.
I see a sloppy game coming from Nashville, as both teams tend to let up plenty of shots. I'm expecting the goals to follow the volume. Three straight meetings between these two teams have reached six goals.
Calgary-Winnipeg is the opposite read to me. I didn't want a piece of this game at all at first glance. Shots and goals both appear to be at a premium, especially with Jacob Markstom and Connor Hellebuyck expected in net. 11 straight games between the Flames and Jets has gone under 6.5, so I like the leg here, bumped up from the listed 5.5 for tonight's meeting.
I'd like to double dip just a tad here in the Montreal-Nashville game, as I'm quite drawn to Matt Duchene tonight. I know many locked in his shot prop this morning, which I think is an awesome look.
Duchene has been far better at getting pucks on net at home (2.9 SOG/game compared to 1.8 SOG/game on the road). I'm taking that as a reason to like his goal even more against a loose Montreal team. Duchene has a goal in two straight home games and notched a hat trick against the Habs last season.
Sam Montembeault is in net fresh off allowing seven goals, and I see a PP edge here for the Predators.
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